Tuesday, 9 June 2015

PM Bolt-On: International Arbitration, Stans Energy (TSX: HRE), Rurelec and Oxus.

Good Evening,

Stans Energy (TSX: HRE) secures litigation funding arrangement with Calunius Capital (Calunius) . One hopes its on better terms than Rurelec Plc (RUR) had. Although Stans have the advantage of an award made to the sum of $118M against the Kyrgyz Republic. 

Kyrgyz Republic is attempting to appeal the award to the International Arbitration Court of the Moscow Chamber of Commerce and Industry. Having already had the award set aside, its not an easy road for Stans. 

One wonders what funding arrangement has been made with Calunius, as a lot of the hard work had already been completed, or were they over a barrel. With a market cap of CDN$10m its not a stock without risks, orphans or those wishing for NS&I returns. 

Without a doubt, Stans need cash and have been surviving on paltry placements of circa CDN$500K. Perhaps the market is wise to the comments of Peter Earl Rurelec Chief Executive (bold is an addition) or the unknown date of the appeal. 

"The results released today are massively affected by the write down we have been forced to take against the book value of our Bolivian assets following the disastrous Arbitration Award of the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague on 1st February 2014 and the subsequent pressure placed on us by an avaricious and mean spirited lender whose lack of support forced us to agree with the Government of Bolivia a large discount against the already unsatisfactory PCA Award.

Rurelec may have some "financing" news out in due course, the market is right to price in the risks of a placing. In fact the company is in danger of getting a jam tomorrow award. Rurelec must be thankful of Radix Investments UK support, whom like Stirling may find themselves holding significantly longer than they intended. 

Calunius are also funding Oxus Plc (OXS) claim against Republic of Uzbekistan. OXS's decision was meant to be finalised back in December 2014, however its "slightly delayed." 

Atb Fraser

2 comments:

  1. Fraser- Hi again- I believe Stans are setting foot on a completely new arb course via UNCITRAL as they have seen the MCCI ruling set aside and they obviously have some doubts re this route now. Its not on their website so I have pasted it here, from 14/5/15-

    http://www.stockhouse.com/news/press-releases/2015/05/14/stans-energy-files-additional-arbitration-claim-against-kyrgyz-republic

    They have mentioned that they will be going after more than the $118m Moscow judgement now, but if its a full UNCITRAL case, we could be talking 3 years or so. In the meantime they are v keen to ensure the Canadian courts continue their Mareva injunction on the 47m Centerra shares, as this is a real problem for the Kyrgyzs as they attempt a restructure of the Kumtor arrangement with Centerra. It is possible that the Canadian court will award them a chunk of these shares even with the MCCI ruling set aside but it could cause international repercussions so Calunius step in now.

    Re OXS- the long wait continues so its one for the patient now, with no leaks or news likely before the red/black decision. No widows or orphans please, just red blooded capitalists.

    Re DIA- one of your favourites Fraser so no doubt you are kicking the tyres there today (or the soft bits in between the legs- your call here :-)))

    Cheers. The Leggie

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks for the update Leggie, I suspect the next arbitration case won't happen if the Kyrgyz Republic are unsuccessful in their appeal and/or pay up. Alternatively, they may go through some of the motions to keep the thumb screws tight.

      Re: DIA...as discussed today! One shall nail another name to the wall today. After the last round of abuse on this company when my target price was 315 pence. I've not had time to complete any analysis, so it's under review at the moment.

      Cheers F

      Delete