Good Evening,
The title pretty much sums up the thoughts. Churchill (CHL)
gave an opportunity for those with trigger happy tendencies to take
profits on the arbitration
update. A positive result for the CHL team (with a lot of hard work)
but perhaps a slight over reaction in the SP?
See the RNS mostly in full below from the link above. Additions are only
to assist with ICSID link and to highlight items that are hopefully identified
at the end of each paragraph with bold underline and/or italics.
A profit shouldn't be sniffed at...but at least implying
CHL's case has more bones to it than some feared! Risks obviously go both
ways with the potential early settlement (unlikely but not zero chance) or
failure of CHL's claim. The respondent (Indonesia) costs of arbitration
will be dwarfed by the potential size of any such settlement, as such, save for
some common-sense, which is unlikely, be prepared for it to drag
on-and-on.
Atb Fraser
4 June
2015
AIM:
CHL
CHURCHILL MINING PLC
("Churchill" or "the Company")
Arbitration Update
Churchill files Reply Memorial to the Republic of
Indonesia's application for dismissal
The Directors of Churchill (AIM: CHL) wish to provide an
update on the international arbitration cases the Company and
its wholly owned subsidiary Planet Mining Pty Ltd ("Planet") are
pursuing against the Republic of Indonesia ("Indonesia") at the
International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes ("ICSID")
in Washington DC.
The arbitration before the ICSID Tribunal
("Tribunal") arises from the unlawful revocation of the mining
licenses relating to the East Kutai Coal Project in East Kalimantan
("EKCP"), Indonesia, in which Churchill and Planet held a 75%
interest.
In accordance with the previously advised arbitration
procedural timetable, the Company filed its formal response to Indonesia's
Application for Dismissal of the ICSID arbitration case due to document forgery
("Indonesia's dismissal application").
The Reply Memorial lodged by the Company was accompanied by
a number of additional witness statements, additional exhibits obtained during
the recent document discovery phase and a report prepared by the Company's
forensic document expert.
The Company and its solicitors, Clifford Chance LLP, have
argued that the evidence contradicting Indonesia's dismissal application is
overwhelming. Key aspects that support this submission are:-
§ Contrary to Indonesia's assertion that the
applications for the four EKCP general survey licences in which Churchill held
a 75% interest were rejected at an early stage, Churchill has
located final drafts for two of these Ridlatama licences. These
final drafts have coordination initials of senior officials of the Regency of
East Kutai. (Bold Underlined are EMC)
§ All four of the allegedly "non-existent"
EKCP general survey licences are, in fact, recorded in the register book of the
Legal Section of East Kutai (which Indonesia produced under orders from the
Tribunal). (Bold Underlined are EMC)
§ The "irregularities" that
Indonesia presented as corroborating "indicia" of forgery are in fact
found on many other mining decrees that Indonesia produced (under orders from
tribunal). (Bold Underlined are EMC)
§ There is conclusive evidence to show that the
accounts of Indonesia's key witnesses are inaccurate in critical respects.
§ There is a vast body of undisputed documents to
show the true footprint of the EKCP licences, some of which bear the signatures
of Indonesia's witnesses who, in their witness statements, have denied
processing (or even knowing about) the allegedly forged EKCP licences. (Bold
Underlined are EMC)
In Procedural Order 15, the Tribunal directed both Churchill
and Indonesia to provide legal submissions on the positions in law in a
scenario where there would be forgery (including submission on the legal
requirements for estoppel). Based on the evidence described above, the Company
and its solicitors have argued that this point is moot, but the Company has
nonetheless addressed this issue in its Reply Memorial in accordance with the
Tribunal's direction. (In so doing, the Company emphasised, for the avoidance
of doubt, that where Churchill entertains the possibility of a finding of
forgery, it does so purely for the sake of argument and without prejudice to
its denial that any acts of forgery or fraud occurred).
In response to the question asked by the Tribunal, Churchill
and its solicitors have submitted that (for argument's sake) even if there were
a finding of forgery by others, such a finding would not be dispositive of
Churchill's case against Indonesia as the international law doctrines of
estoppel, acquiescence, legitimate expectations/fair and equitable treatment,
unjust enrichment and internationally wrongful composite acts would be
activated in the Company's favour.
In making these submissions, Churchill and its solicitors
note the fact that Indonesia no longer alleges that Churchill
participated in the alleged scheme to defraud the State. Indonesia's position
now is that Churchill's former Indonesian business partners, the Ridlatama
Group, were the sole perpetrators of the allegedly fraudulent
scheme. (Bold Underlined are EMC)
Next Steps
The next steps of the arbitration proceedings include:
3 July 2015
|
Simultaneous answers to comments on document inspection
and other documents
|
9 July 2015
|
Identification of witnesses and experts to be cross-
examined at the Hearing on document authenticity
|
13 July 2015
|
Pre-hearing tele-conference
|
3 August 2015
|
Hearing on document authenticity commencement
|
"We are pleased that Indonesia is no longer alleging
that Churchill participated in any scheme to defraud the State. The results of
the production of documents by Indonesia reinforces our view that there is no
substance to the fraud and forgery allegations made by the Republic of
Indonesia and we look forward to having this issue dealt with so we can move
ahead with having our claims determined." said Churchill's Chairman David
Quinlivan. (Italic underlined are EMC)
Information on the progress of Churchill/Planet's claim
against the Republic of Indonesia can be found at the website of the
International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes at
Edited ICSID
World Bank for link.
END
Fraser- Yes, an overreaction at it appears that some saw that timetable and thought that cheques for superyachts would be issued by ROI on or just after 3/8/15. As we know, that's just the stage at which the fly in the ointment is removed and if that goes in CHLs favour (which must be a decent bet given the startling findings and submission here) we go back to the normal procedural cycle, which with arb cases is comatose. The hearing on merits/award (if any) is likely to be in 2016 at the earliest, with the court to schedule after the forgery stage is over. If anyone wants to follow it procedurally, its here-
ReplyDeletehttps://icsid.worldbank.org/apps/ICSIDWEB/cases/Pages/casedetail.aspx?CaseNo=ARB/12/40 and 12/14&tab=DOC
Given that it was white hot yesterday, many of those that got in around 50p will move when they work out the real timescales here. I sold some yesterday and will get them back at 30p or so in a few months- that's the plan at least. Some will have flown into the Gatwick Gushers today.
Cheers. The Leggie