http://www.chaorisolar.com/upload/2013030601595268.pdf
The actual statement about corporate bonds, please use a decent translator
service. This was made on the 1st March, but they have offered $400K on that $1b debt, I hope you sense my humour there!
It comes as no surprise as I had discussed earlier about the
Chinese Development Grants, and how this creates a false market especially in
the Solar Panel industry. The timing of the notices and default appears to have
been made for the Company to be high profile to ‘attempt’ to force the Chinese
Authorities to ‘bail out’ the Solar manufacturer and avoid a default. Afterall,
look at the share ownership structure, how many more companies in China
underpinned by various Chinese Authority / Government Department’s and/or
Companies nevermind the fact is been suspended for how long?
If people look back at the history, its no surprise ‘Directors’
(loose term) were resigning for some time prior to the news. Nevermind the fact
the company was suspended for how long? Yet alleged decent Journalists are now
suggesting it’s “sudden news” that has come to light. This company, like many
Solar companies has been unable to meet it’s interest payments on bonds for a
long time despite the solar industry prices picking up from an all-time lows. It’s
not something new, this didn’t materialise as a result of other issues, they
merely didn’t generate enough cashflow/profit from sales to maintain the
payment of interest (& the shrewd parties (myself included) realised this
when shorting the stocks of those listed outside China. In essence, without a qualification
in accounting, but an understanding of accounts on a basic level, I dare say
the liabilities were known about prior to the 1st March when the
original announcement was made by some 6 months, but as it wasn’t due till a
certain date the company elected to wait and the bonds were a bet on improving
markets that would never materialise.
Amazingly, more press has been generated from this default than the other
defaults by Solar Companies “offshore” which have created larger losses and
greater debts, but “been able to consolidate” due to Governmental Assistance.
The Communist theory of “state ownership” is being contradicted by the bail
outs of capitalistic entities, and more importantly the distorted accounts that
appear to make a Company profitable when it has received development or
government funding from various agencies.
I would however like to thank a certain person for adapting my previous commentary including typo on the Solar ‘Crisis’ and putting it out as their own, you will be hearing from me!
China, either has to embrace market forces or adapt a
different culture whereby they’re clearly allowing second tier of lending which
is akin to a 1990’s Window Salesman’s explaining if you don’t buy now the
opportunity is gone tomorrow…
Atb Fraser
Fraser thanks for some informative posts got me thinking and reducing my risks. Got my first short on AngloAAL and doing well. Fancy doing a workshop as your commentary on ML is very specific some of us have been keeping a tally of your accuracy you should be proud. TIA Reece
ReplyDeleteFraser
ReplyDeleteNice update re solar- I think the default is clearly a signal from the Chinese govt that there is some market risk and that investors need to do some reading and risk assessment in the future, rather than just assume bailouts will follow forever. It could be more healthy for some more defaults imo than brainless investing to be rewarded. We all know that the Chinese have let some sectors grow without any regard to generating profits or even breaking even and this is perhaps a sign of the authorities adopting a more Darwinian approach.
Cheers and have a great weekend. The Leggie